It’s Hard to Find a Black Cat in a Dark Room, Especially If It Isn’t There: RAND on the Search for Cyber Coercion

What is cyber coercion have used cyber to coerce others? These questions addressed in RAND think tank’s recent “Fighting Shadows in Understanding Countering in Cyberspace“. discuss cyber conducted four — Russia, North — try to determine whether activities amounted to cyber Starting with study think that like Russia North It’s Hard to appear to be more to have used cyber as a coercive tool China Iran. also find that, do not make distinct with unambiguous demands for in behaviour often. hiding behind proxies.

What is cyber coercion and how have states used cyber operations to coerce others? These are the questions addressed in the RAND think tank’s recent report “Fighting Shadows in the Dark. Understanding and Countering Coercion in Cyberspace“. The authors discuss cyber operations conducted by four states — Russia, China, Iran and North Korea — and try to determine whether those activities amounted to cyber coercion. Starting with the study findings, we will highlight the following points. Cyber operations intended to coerce cat acts like spraying are a small subset of overall cyber operations globally. Espionage remains the predominant purpose of states’ cyber operations. Despite that, the authors think that states like Russia and North Korea appear to be more likely to have used cyber operations as a coercive tool than China and Iran. The authors also find that, contrary to what coercion theory would predict, states do not make distinct threats with unambiguous demands for changes in behaviour often. Instead, they deny responsibility, hiding behind proxies.

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